Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.145023 0.176699 0.211001 0.250613 0.294805 0.342316 0.396981
2025-03-09 0.100094 0.141155 0.189590 0.249699 0.321094 0.402075 0.499767
2025-03-16 0.066164 0.109704 0.165897 0.240666 0.334648 0.446235 0.586128
2025-03-23 0.049764 0.096031 0.160708 0.251845 0.371541 0.518543 0.707950
2025-03-30 0.034396 0.079365 0.148076 0.250816 0.391690 0.570301 0.806270
2025-04-06 0.023800 0.066615 0.138210 0.251409 0.412713 0.622919 0.906518
2025-04-13 0.017193 0.058396 0.133384 0.257877 0.441073 0.685173 1.020014
2025-04-20 0.012643 0.052357 0.130742 0.266705 0.472413 0.751680 1.140052
2025-04-27 0.009056 0.046734 0.127594 0.273947 0.501207 0.815055 1.256942
2025-05-04 0.005679 0.039433 0.119763 0.272472 0.516554 0.859951 1.349866
2025-05-11 0.003751 0.034956 0.116411 0.277739 0.541672 0.918471 1.461580
2025-05-18 0.002045 0.029206 0.109008 0.274998 0.553943 0.958808 1.549072
2025-05-25 0.000696 0.021874 0.096107 0.261177 0.548459 0.974278 1.604023
2025-06-01 0.000286 0.018895 0.092893 0.264817 0.570697 1.029984 1.715132
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.014676 0.084859 0.258062 0.575350 1.059824 1.790610
2025-06-15 0.000010 0.013936 0.086776 0.271351 0.613689 1.140086 1.937760
2025-06-22 NaN 0.011499 0.082456 0.271200 0.629112 1.186298 2.037428
2025-06-29 NaN 0.009570 0.078997 0.272368 0.646594 1.235709 2.142092
2025-07-06 NaN 0.008516 0.078336 0.279506 0.674544 1.301344 2.270571
2025-07-13 NaN 0.007802 0.078752 0.289003 0.706785 1.373888 2.409585
2025-07-20 NaN 0.006999 0.078450 0.296749 0.736031 1.442174 2.543120
2025-07-27 NaN 0.005571 0.074419 0.295261 0.748464 1.484508 2.639484
2025-08-03 NaN 0.004836 0.073401 0.300851 0.773810 1.547199 2.765935